15, November 2016

XAU/USD (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

Gold prices remained under pressure trading around 5 month low being under pressure as U.S. elections results continued weighing on market sentiment. Majority of investors believe that the Fed will hike the rate in December that weighed on the market sentiment as well.

Current situation

Gold prices bounced off the border of the oversold zone on Monday. Sellers failed to extend decline below 1210 dollars per ounce and buyers took a chance to reverse some losses. The yellow metal broke the level 1220 and almost reached 1230 where the buying momentum lost its leg. The price faced another downside pressure and returned below 1220. Traders tested 1210 at the beginning of the New York session. Prices traded below the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages are moving south. The resistance is at 1220, the support comes in at 1210 dollars per ounce.

MACD is in the negative territory. The RSI indicator is near overvalued territory, favoring a new move lower.

Trading recommendations

If risk-on sentiment remains intact gold prices will weaken further. A firm break below 1220 handle would open the door for testing the levels 1210 and 1200 dollars per ounce.