28, August 2015

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

Panic sales in the world leading stock markets have stopped. Against this background, investors’ escape from the carry trade transactions has practically stopped. In this context, the "safe assets" such as gold and the Japanese yen were not in demand.

The second quarter US GDP second assessment can be revised in the positive direction against the strong macroeconomic releases. The number of jobless claims was expected to 274K against the previous 277K. In fact there was 271K.

The US dollar partially returned positions against the yen. The pair is going upwards.

The price is finding the first support at 120.40, the next one is at 119.20. The price is finding the first resistance at 121.60, the next one is at 122.40.

There is a confirmed and a strong sell signal. The price is under the Cloud and it is under the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen shows a horizontal movement and the Kijun-sen shows a downward movement and form a “Dead Cross”. The downward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a negative territory. The price is correcting.

Trading recommendations

If the price fixates below the support 120.40, it may continue the downward trend in the short term. The potential target is 119.20.