25, March 2015

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

The US negative macroeconomic statistics that we receive more recently deprives the dollar support. The inflation release for February also will not please traders with the strong data. On the other hand, demand for the risky assets is still preserved which is a negative factor for the low-yielding Japanese yen.

The pair dollar/yen consolidated near the psychological level of 120.00. Then the support level of 119.20 was tested.

The price is finding the first support at 119.20, the next one is at 118.00. The price is finding the first resistance at 120.40, the next one is at 121.60.

There is a confirmed and a strong sell signal. The price is under the Cloud and it is under the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen and the Kijun-sen show a horizontal movement. The downward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a negative territory. The price is consolidating.

Trading recommendations

We suppose the pair will go to 120.40 first. Having overcome the first target the price might go upwards to 121.60.