13, January 2015

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

The bullish trend continuation in the US stock market will maintain demand for the dollar and the Japanese corporate bonds. The Friday quotations decrease on the NYSE should be considered as a technical correction, but not as a bearish reversal. The strong employment releases point out to the strong economic growth in the 4th quarter that will support the demand for shares before the Fed meeting which will take place on January 28.

Sellers confidently broke through the upward trend line of 119.20. The trend line breakthrough was amid the increased volume and enabled sellers to reverse the medium-term bullish trend downwards.

The price is finding the first support at 118.00, the next one is at 117.00. The price is finding the first resistance at 119.20, the next one is at 120.40.

There is a confirmed and a strong sell signal. The price is under the Cloud and it is under the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen and the Kijun-sen show a horizontal movement and form a “Dead Cross”. The downward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a negative territory. The price is decreasing.

Trading recommendations

The potential decrease targets are the support levels: 117.00, 115.80.