10, December 2014

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

We can expect the moderate quotations decline towards 120.50 / 120.20 amid the technical correction on the Japanese stock market. Near 17 564 the Nikkei 225 stock index can find a demand that also will support the US dollar. The positive correlation between the two instruments is still strong enough due to the ultra-loose monetary policy pursued by the Bank of Japan.

There was the price rebound downwards from the rising channel upper bound of 121.80. Amid the low volume sellers have been reducing the price for the second day in a row.

The price is finding the first support at 119.20, the next one is at 118.00. The price is finding the first resistance at 120.40, the next one is at 121.60.

There is a confirmed and a weak buy signal. The price is above the Cloud and it is above the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen shows a downward movement and the Kijun-sen shows a horizontal movement. The upward movement will be until the price is above the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a neutral territory. The price is decreasing.

Trading recommendations

The downward movement will be continued. The pair may go to 118.00 soon.