08, January 2015

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

The United States published the ISM manufacturing and service sector negative releases that would certainly be reflected in the 4th quarter GDP. We can also expect the ADP data output and the trade balance slightly worse than the forecasted medians. At the beginning of the new year we saw the US and Japan 10-year bond yields sharp reduction. It was 169 pp on January 6.

At the increasing volume sellers tried to break through below the upward trend line of 119.20 that is a key support. The trend line 118.00 testing has not led to the breakthrough and the pair grew above the level of 119.20.

The price is finding the first support at 119.20, the next one is at 118.00. The price is finding the first resistance at 120.40, the next one is at 121.60.

The price is in the Cloud and it is above the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen and the Kijun-sen show a horizontal movement.

The MACD indicator is in a negative territory. The price is correcting.

Trading recommendations

The trend is an up side. The upward bounce potential target are 120.40, 121.60.