06, July 2015

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

USD/JPY (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

If traders are positive to the US dollar - we expect the demand for the dollar. However, the 2-year Treasury bonds decline after weak June average earnings indicates the expectations decrease about imminent monetary policy tightening by the Fed and this factor is negative for the dollar.

The price is finding the first support at 122.40, the next one is at 121.60. The price is finding the first resistance at 123.50, the next one is at 124.30.

There is a confirmed and a strong sell signal. The price is under the Cloud and it is under the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen and the Kijun-sen show a horizontal movement and form a “Golden Cross”. The downward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a neutral territory. The price is consolidating.

Trading recommendations

The potential decrease targets are two levels of support: 122.40, 121.60.