15, May 2015

USD/CHF (a 4 hour chart)

USD/CHF (a 4 hour chart)

General overview

The Swiss franc could strengthen amid the dollar decline.

The US dollar has suffered serious losses against all its major currencies after the unexpectedly US retail sales weak data publication. Retail sales amounted to + 0.0% in April while it was forecasted + 0.2%, but the sales excluding cars amounted to + 0.1% against + 0.5%.

The price is finding the support at 0.9060. The price is finding the first resistance at 0.9160, the next one is at 0.9280.

There is a confirmed and a strong sell signal. The price is under the Cloud and it is under the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen and the Kijun-sen show a horizontal movement and form a “Dead Cross”. The downward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a negative territory. The price is consolidating.

Trading recommendations

We advise to long with the first target - 0.9280. When the pair consolidates above the first target, we can open deals to the level of 0.9370.