28, January 2016

GBP/USD (a 4-hour chart)

GBP/USD (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

We think that there three reasons to long. We expect the positive mortgage lending data amid the labor market positive trend. According to the Markit the December construction industry also showed growth which confirms the positive trend. The UK low inflation (0.2% in 2015) contributes to a real income increase and is a positive factor for the real estate market.

The price is finding the first support at 1.4080, the next one is at 1.4000. The first resistance is at 1.4350, the next one is at 1.4470.

The sell signal got stronger as the price is moving from the Cloud. The price is still in the Ichimoku Cloud. The Tenkan-sen and the Kijun-sen are both horizontal. The downward movement will be until the price is below the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a positive territory. The histogram is decreasing.

Trading recommendations

Daily and weekly technical studies remain bearish. Shall the pair break below 1.4080 the downward movement will be continued to the 40th figure. The upward targets are the resistance levels: 1.4470, 1.4650.