14, October 2015

GBP/USD (a 4-hour chart)

GBP/USD (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

Investors' attention is directed to the September UK inflation report. The UK monetary authorities have repeatedly said about the low inflation level in the medium term. The UK 10-year government bond yields which reflect investors' expectations about the September inflation declined by 19.5 basis points. One of the positive factors for the pound is the July unemployment rate decrease by 0.1%.

The first support is at 1.5200, the next one is 1.5100. The resistance is at the level of 1.5300, the next one is at 1.5390. The pound exchange rate continued its correctional movement.

There is a confirmed and weak buy signal, the price is above the Cloud. The pair is above the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen and the Kijun-sen are crossing each other that might be a pivot sign. The pair will keep the growth pace until it is above the Cloud.

The MACD left a positive territory. The histogram is decreasing.

Trading recommendations

If the situation does not change the level of 1.5390 will remain our main target. Shall the pair return to a decrease it will go to the level of 1.5200.