01, March 2016

GBP/USD (a 4-hour chart)

GBP/USD (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

Pound rebounded upwards from the minimums. The pound was under pressure due to Brexit threat that became a very real and US data that had shown an unexpected rise. The GDP for the 4th quarter was revised upwards to 1.0% (annualized), while the market expected it to decrease from 0.7% to 0.4%. PCE deflator index rose to 1.7% y/y, above expectations and a revised data of 1.5%.

The price is finding the first support at 1.3840, the next one is at 1.3760. The price is finding the first resistance at 1.3920, the next one is at 1.4000.

There is a confirmed and a strong sell signal. The price is under the Ichimoku Cloud and it is under the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen and the Kijun-sen show a downward movement. The downward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a negative territory. The price is correcting.

Trading recommendations

The downward movement potential target is 1.3840. If the price grows above the level of 1.3920 it will get to 1.4000.