EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)
American consumers feel comfortable enough and the November strong retail sales perfectly prove it. We expect the positive data from the durable goods orders. However, it is difficult to count on the exceeding consensus forecast as during the Christmas period Americans are more focused on the retail sector.
Sellers attempted to break through above the resistance level of 1.2300. The short-term test was followed by a small breakthrough with the following price return back beyond the level. Then the pair fell under the support level of 1.2200.
The price is finding the support at 1.2130. The price is finding the first resistance at 1.2200, the next one is at 1.2300.
There is a confirmed and a strong sell signal. The price is under the Cloud and it is under the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen and the Kijun-sen show a downward movement. The downward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.
The MACD indicator is in a negative territory. The price is decreasing.
The downward bounce potential target is 1.2130.