23, October 2014

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

 EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

The euro will be under the external information influence, first of all under the US inflation data. If the data shows the US price pressure growth, as, in general it is expected that will increase our confidence in the ECB and the Fed policy growth that will add pressure on the euro.

The EUR/USD has broken through the lower uptrend boundary of 1.2730 that means the three-week correction turn in the long term.

The price is finding the first support at 1.2600, the next one is at 1.2500. The price is finding the first resistance at 1.2670, the next one is at 1.2730.

There is a confirmed and a strong sell signal. The price is under the Cloud and it is below the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen and the Kijun-sen show a downward movement. The downward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a negative territory. The price is decreasing.

Trading recommendations

We suppose the pair consolidates first. The potential decrease targets are two levels of support: 1.2600, 1.2500.