19, December 2014

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

This week we have received the Germany strong releases from Markit Economics and ZEW and today we expect the positive dynamics to be continued by the IFO Institute. In the light of this, the European single currency can get short-term support.

The Fed pointed out to the downward trend continuation within the main currency pair and the short-term quotations’ growth should be used to build "shorts". The commodity market bearish trend is also able to strengthen demand for the dollar as the commodity assets are denominated into the US currency.

The price is finding the support at 1.2200. The price is finding the first resistance at 1.2300, the next one is at 1.2400.

There is a confirmed and a strong sell signal. The price is under the Cloud and it is under the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen shows a downward movement and the Kijun-sen shows a horizontal movement. The downward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a negative territory. The price is decreasing.

Trading recommendations

The price is likely to go to the downward trend line 1.2200.