15, March 2013

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

EUR/USD (4-х часовой график)

General overview

The price was making a correction towards the Cloud and the Kijun-sen. After breaking the Kijun-sen line the price stopped below the outer boundary of the Ichimoku cloud. The pair stopped at the level 1.3000 which coincides with the middle line of Bollinger Bands.

The sell signal is weak and confirmed. The Chinkou Span and Kijun-sen are below the price, the pair is being traded below the Ichimoku cloud. The euro will continue its falling if it returns under the Kijun-sen (1.2990).

If the price continues to go up and gets into the cloud it will cancel the downward movement.

Bollinger Bands began to broadening.
MACD is going up.

Trading recommendations

In general the downward trend continues.

A short term forecast is to go short. The first target is 1.2940. Should the pair overcome this level the price will go to 1.2895.

The correction can move further and turn into an uptrend. If it continues growing the price will go to the level 1.3055, where if consolidates can go further to 1.3100.

When opening orders you should consider the fundamental news and the time of its release.