14, January 2015

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

 EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

In the absence of important macroeconomic statistics traders shall focus their attention on the commodity market dynamics. Namely the bearish oil trend strengthening pushed the eurozone into a deflation and now all traders are closely monitoring the "black gold" quotes. The nearest Brent strong support level is at the mark of 47.46. We believe bears will continue to build up short positions on the short-term euro quotations growth.

The corrective euro growth against the US dollar stopped near the downtrend channel upper bound of 1.1850. The trade towards the channel has been lasting the fifth week in a row.

The trade volumes are in the reduced zone.

The price is finding the first support at 1.1770, the next one is at 1.1690. The price is finding the first resistance at 1.1850, the next one is at 1.1950.

There is a confirmed and a strong sell signal. The price is under the Cloud and it is under the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen and the Kijun-sen show a downward movement. The downward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a negative territory. The price is decreasing.

Trading recommendations

We believe the falling will be continued now. The first target is the level 1.1690.