05, February 2015

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

 EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

General overview

The first medium-term correction phase is in the midst of its peak and now it is fatal to open the "shorts" within the euro. The traders’ attention will be focused on the December euro zone retail sales publication. The retail sector sales decrease was traditionally observed in the Old World last month, but the Germany and France consumer spending growth cannot allow us to count on the weak data.

The seven week trading session downward channel was broken through upwards. The level breakthrough of 1.1400 was at the increased volume.

The price is finding the first support at 1.1400, the next one is at 1.1300. The price is finding the first resistance at 1.1520, the next one is at 1.1590.

There is a confirmed and a weak buy signal. The price is above the Cloud and it is above the Chinkou Span. The Tenkan-sen shows an upward movement and the Kijun-sen shows a horizontal movement. The upward movement will be until the price is under the Cloud.

The MACD indicator is in a positive territory. The price is correcting.

Trading recommendations

We suppose the pair will consolidate around the level of 1.1300.