Downswing shows apparent signs of bearish pressure easing though it doesn’t have a full-fledged reversal signal at its tip. Amplitude of decline exceeds the size of earlier formed trending downswing that may suggest a necessity of correction in direction 1809.00-1816.00.
Local structure so far keeps a bearish tone forming a bearish inside bar at the tip of corrective upswing. Thus a key resistance zone today is PPZ 1788.01-1789.79: while the price resides below this area, a probability of a new drop in direction 1764.20 will remain in place (blue arrow). In case of bulls’ breakout above it, a reversal pattern O&U will be formed that would confirm a start of upward correction on the daily chart (black arrow).
Main scenario: New decline in direction 1764.20.
Alternative scenario: Growth above 1788.01-1789.79 in direction 1800.00.
Below 1788.01-1789.79 - shorts to 1764.20.
Above 1788.01-1789.79 - longs to 1800.00, 1808.00, 1816.00.