29, May 2015

Fundamental analysis

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

The US dollar was once again in demand but at the end of the day it lost some ground against the euro. The dollar index basket (USDX) finished the trading day at the mark of 97.44. Besides the UK GDP assessment and the number of the US jobless claims, there was not published any important macroeconomic statistics this day. Investors are still actively increasing long positions, getting rid of its main competitors. However the euro recovered some lost positions. The commodity market is also under pressure – the Brent crude fell below $ 63/barrel and set the four-week minimum.

The jobless claims report did not please traders with the positive data. The four-week average dropped significantly last week which with the Conference Board consumer confidence release allowed us to count on the data output a little bit better than the forecasted medians. Nevertheless, the date came out more then forecasted medians.

The Japanese yen quickly fell to the eight-year lows against the US dollar growth. According to the Bank of Japan April meeting minutes, the time allocated to achieve the two-percent inflation rate can be extended.