22, June 2015

Fundamental analysis

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

Last week the pair EUR/USD strengthened amid the May US inflation moderately negative data. The final indicator is higher by 0.1% that is worse than traders had expected that increased pressure on the dollar. However the euro showed a decreased on the Friday’s trades.

By the end of the day the pair GBP/USD had increased amid the May UK positive retail sales increased by 0.2% which is a positive factor for the British economy. Nevertheless the pair slightly fell.

By the end of the day the pair USD/JPY had decreased amid the profit taking on the carry trade transactions in the morning.

The situation with Greece continues to deteriorate investors' sentiment. If Athens is not able to negotiate with creditors, Greece will lose the new financial assistance tranche that is necessary for the debts repayment to the IMF in the amount of 1.6 billion euros ($ 1.82 billion).

The Euro group finance ministers meet in Luxembourg while Greece is on the agenda. However, the Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras said that he would reject any offers that would force him to go to the "catastrophic" measures. It aggravates the prospects of signing the agreement. Speaking in the German parliament, Chancellor Angela Merkel said that the agreement with Greece was still possible.