22, January 2015

Fundamental analysis

 EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

There was a mixed sentiment and tendency yesterday. The ZEW Institute published the Germany business environment positive release, still we did not see a strong demand for the euro. At the moment quotations reached the level of 1.1675 after which there was a technical rebound, indicating the traders’ reluctance to open long positions.

On the contrary, the pair GBP/USD showed a strong growth. However, the "cable" reached the level of 1.5060 amid the lower energy prices. But then, bears decided to take profits on short positions which allowed the pound to regain some lost ground. Then the pair fell again.

The pair USD/JPY is in a steady demand. The moderate oil prices decline that we see from the beginning of the trading week supports the dollar as the commodity assets prices denominated in the US dollar. Some traders believe that the Bank of Japan can declare the incentive program increase and against this background "longs" are more preferable.