21, December 2015

Fundamental analysis

 EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

The Germany IFO Institute release pointed out to the wholesale and retail trade business climate reduction. The manufacturing sector business activity grew this week. The upward trend has been continued. The Germany and the US government bond yields grew as well. The ECB and the Fed December decisions does not leave investors with no choice and sent their capital into the dollar and Treasury bonds purchase. The "black gold" market negative expectations were on the "bulls" hand within the US dollar. The US crude oil stocks have once again increased, the US Congress lifted the ban on the crude oil import. However by the end of the trades the pair EUR/USD slightly increased.

The Cable was not able to strengthen its position against the greenback that indicates the strong sellers’ presence. The November US Core CPI index showed a growth by 2% in annual terms which allowed the FOMC a sigh of relief before the interest rates verdict announcement. By the end of the week the pair pound/dollar slightly fell.

The Bank of Japan monetary policy results have been published. The Bank of Japan corrected the quantitative easing program. The central bank will buy government bonds and shares in the Japanese stock market with an average maturity of 7-12 years government bonds before the repayment period was 7-10 years. The assets purchases annual volume remained unchanged with 80 trillion yen. In addition the Bank of Japan corrects the policy in connection to the oil prices trend changes. The trades on the pair USD/JPY closed with a decrease.