19, June 2015

Fundamental analysis

 EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

The main event of the day was the US Federal two-day meeting results announcement. Most the world leading investment banks' economists expect the Federal Reserve positive forecasts still the FOMC representatives sent the dollar to the knockout. The key forecasts for GDP, unemployment and interest rates have been revised to the negative directions which together with uncertainty in relation to the federal funds rate first increase have had significant pressure on the US dollar.

In the light of this the pair EUR/USD has increased, the pair GBP/USD has increased as well, the pair USD/JPY has fallen.

There was the Euro group meeting where they discussed "the Greek debt" solutions. The Greece and the Germany 10-year government bond yields have been increasing for four trading days in a row that pointed out to the low probability of a compromise. Even if the parties were able to reach a consensus - the negotiations would be very long.

The USA published a weekly initial jobless claims report. There was 267 thousand claims last week, While analysts had expected 276 thousand.