15, August 2014

EUR/USD Fundamental analysis

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

After several days of silence the Forex market showed a burst of volatility on major pairs. The EUR/USD bears still cannot take the support level of 1.3332 despite the negative macroeconomic statistics from the Eurozone. The main currency pair is still trading in the mid-range and market participants are saving effort to further the market down.

The GBP/USD fell after the USA macroeconomic publications. The UK unemployment dropped to 6.4%. The Bank of England inflation minutes began on a positive note - the monetary regulator increased its estimate of economic growth in 2014 and 2015. Mark Carney said that the Central Bank expected the wages reduction to 1.25% from 2.5%. It was also noticed that the strong pound limits export growth.

The Japan's GDP for the second quarter showed a decrease of 6.8%, which coincided with the expectations of market participants. The non-state sector consumption in Japan has decreased by 5%. The Bank of Japan noted in its last minutes that they expect the tax burden increasing negative effect weakening. This factor, combined with a growth in the world's leading stock markets supported the demand for pair.