11, March 2016

Fundamental analysis

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

The single European currency was in the spotlight on Thursday. The European Central Bank (ECB) had to step up its measures to support the economy in a low inflation environment. The Bank's decision regarding monetary policy, and Mario Draghi's press conference were the main news of the day.

The ECB decided to mitigate the monetary policy, still the regulator made it clear that the new rate cuts probably would not happen. The ECB cut its deposit rate by 10 basis points as it was expected.

Germany published Trade Balance which came in at 18,9B compared to 20,3B the previous month. These data was revised upwards to 18,8B. Experts expected a growth rate for the last month to 19,6B.

According to the British macroeconomic statistics the Bank of England is not inclined to raise the interest rates. It is worth mentioning that the UK shall hold a referendum on the UK exit from the EU in a few months. It also put pressure on the British pound. The recent growth is considered as a correction from a seven-year low.

As for the Japanese currency, it came under pressure amid risks rising when China's Consumer Price Index came in better than expected. Meanwhile, the US has published Initial Jobless Claims. Economists had expected a decline from 277K to 275K. The index showed 259K.