10, May 2016

Fundamental analysis

 EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

William Dudley’s speech (the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York) supported the dollar. According to William Dudley the regulator plans to hike the rate twice this year even though the number of new jobs created in the United States in April has been the lowest in the past seven months. The USA published minor economic data on Monday.

The main drivers for the dollar growth were: new rumors and expectations about the US interest rates increase in the summer, fears of the referendum results in Britain in June and cyclical factors. Meanwhile, the data published in the Eurozone on Monday, showed that the investors’ and analysts’ sentiment had been improved somewhat in May, but concerns about the global economic outlook continued to pressure the market. The Eurogroup decided to give Greece a new tranche in the next few weeks.

Strengthening of the dollar continued to pressure the pound.

According to Taro Aso (the Japanese Finance Minister) Tokyo is ready to intervene in the market if excessive dynamics of the yen will be able to influence the trade statistics and economic indicators. Earlier the yen generally strengthened after the Bank of Japan refrained from implementing fresh easing measures following the results of the April policy meeting, contrary to market expectations.