05, September 2014

Fundamental analysis

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

The EUR/USD enjoyed a moderate demand from the traders the other day despite the weak macroeconomic data from the Eurozone. The August service sector PMI final data was revised down to the level of 53.1. The retail sales also showed a decline of -0.4%, which indicates a lack of consumer confidence in the region. However, the euro/dollar was growing moderately, as willing to sell at the low levels has been very little. Nevertheless after the ECB’s decision to reduce the interest rate the pair fell to the new minimums.

The GBP/USD ignores the positive macroeconomic data from the United Kingdom. The services PMI rose to the level of 60.5, which is the highest level in the last 10 months. However, we have not seen a strong demand for the pound - at the moment the price reached the level of 1.6496 and the bulls’ impulse for the growth was over. As we do not see the GBP/USD growth- there are strong sellers in the market. The pair also fell after the EBC’s decisions announcement.

After a long upward trend – the investors are taking profits in the USD/JPY. It should also be noted that the "longs" closing also happened in the United States and Japan stock markets which also inspired the bears to the short-term short positions opening. No important macroeconomic statistics has not been published and the sales were of a purely technical nature.