02, July 2015

Fundamental analysis

EUR/USD (a 4-hour chart)

The European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker sent to Greece the details of a new agreement with creditors. According to Juncker, if the Greeks rejects the proposal in the referendum, it will mean that they will vote for the eurozone exit. The ECB, Benoit Ker said that Greece's exit from the Eurozone can not be excluded now.

The EUR/USD decreased after the June positive US consumer confidence release. The Conference Board index came to the level of 101.4, indicating increased consumer activity.

The pair GBP/USD finished trading in the "red zone". The British currency was under pressure due to lower government bonds yields.

The USD/JPY fell against the demand for safe assets due to the situation around Greece. However the pair increased by the end of the day.

We shall pay attention to the United States statistics: the ADP US employment and business activity in the manufacturing sector. In the first two months of the second quarter, the US economy is steadily creating more than 200 thousand new jobs, indicating that the output data will be within the median forecasts. During June, the jobs number in the private sector amounted to 237 thousand. The forecast was 220 thousands. The business production activity showed 53.5 when the forecast was 53.2.